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Demystifying Climate Models: A Users Guide to Earth System Models
Andrew Gettelman and Richard B. Rood
2016
This book demystifies the models we use to simulate present and future climates, allowing readers to better understand how to use climate model results. In order to predict the future trajectory of the Earth’s climate, climate-system simulation models are necessary. When and how do we trust climate model predictions? The book offers a framework for answering this question. It provides readers with a basic primer on climate and climate change, and offers non-technical explanations for how climate models are constructed, why they are uncertain, and what level of confidence we should place in them. It presents current results and the key uncertainties concerning them. Uncertainty is not a weakness but understanding uncertainty is a strength and a key part of using any model, including climate models. Case studies of how climate model output has been used and how it might be used in the future are provided. The ultimate goal of this book is to promote a better understanding of the structure and uncertainties of climate models among users, including scientists, engineers and policymakers.
This book is included in DOAB.
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Keywords
- Anthropogenic Climate Change
- Civil engineering
- Climate change management
- Climate Forcing
- Confidence Of Climate Predictions
- Coupled Climate System Model
- Energy Flows
- Finite Element Model
- General Circulation Models
- Greenhouse gases
- Human System Models
- Keeling Curve
- Mathematics & science
- Model Evaluation And Validation
- Model Perfomance
- Ozone Assessment
- Physics
- Prediction Of Extreme Events
- Scenario Uncertainty
- Sea-Ice Models
- Tropical Cyclones
- Type Of Climate Models
- Uncertainties In Climate Models
- Weather Models
Links
DOI: 10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8web: https://link.springer.com/book/10.1007/978-3-662-48959-8
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